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Could the Senate be on the Cusp of Blowing Another Health Care Deadline?

Senate Democrats have been waiting on tenterhooks for a score from the Congressional Budget Office before they can introduce their health care reform bill and start the debate. Assuming the score comes today, the bill could be introduced as early as tomorrow. But, don't get your hopes up for a vote any time soon. Senator Blanche Lincoln, an Arkansas Democrat, has been pushing for 72 hours to allow the public and staff (and theoretically senators themselves) to read the bill before a vote. Lincoln, one of the most endangered Dem incumbents, is an essential moderate swing vote on the bill.

After the Senate caucus lunches today, Senator Bob Casey, a Pennsylvania Democrat, told reporters that Reid would grant Lincoln her time. Here's some of Casey's exchange with reporters:

Q. Did you learn anything on the timing of the health care bill?

A. One thing which I think was important that we just learned that I think is significant is that we're going to have plenty of time to review what the majority leader presents in the merged bill. It'll be days, not a day or two. Which is the way it ought to be and I think that should alleviate a lot of the concerns that some have raised that there wouldn't be enough time even prior to the motion to proceed.

Q. So you're not going to get the bill this week because days – and it's already Tuesday -- that would make it very unlikely, right?

A. I think that would be a very accurate assessment. A reasonably accurate assessment.

Q. Did [Reid] say that in there you won't vote on the motion to proceed this week?

A. I think that was implicit from the time that we'll spend reviewing what he presents.

Keep in mind -- the votes here are votes on the motion to proceed, meaning to simply start the debate, not on final passage of the bill, which likely won't come until Christmas-time at the earliest. Casey even hinted that debate might not begin until after Thanksgiving vacation -- a delay that could push final passage back until after the New Year. Such a move would, though, appease a number of senators who have codels planned during this recess to visit troops or to go abroad. Scuttling or postponing such trips are often entail expensive security re-arrangements. “We'll have plenty of time to review what the majority leader presents,” Casey said. “More time than anyone would've thought. Because we want to use our time at Thanksgiving wisely. Thursday to eat and then you review health care for the rest of your vacation.”

When asked by reporters when the vote will be held, Reid would only say, “We're going to hold it as soon as we can.” But his office said they are confident of getting a vote before Thanksgiving recess – even if Reid must keep all senators here well into next week.

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  • 1

    "Senate Democrats have been waiting on tender hooks..."

    A tenter is a frame on which cloth is stretched during manufacture, so that it may dry evenly. The frame is outfitted with sharp hooks or bent nails that hold the cloth stretched. These hooks, you will not be surprised to learn, are called tenterhooks.
    .
    Cloth-stretching being outside of most people's range of experience these days, tenterhook is rarely found except in the figurative expression on tenterhooks, meaning 'in a state of uneasy suspense or painful anxiety'.
    .
    Tenterhooks is used in similar figurative expressions from the sixteenth century onwards: Sir Thomas More and Byron both used the word meaning 'something that causes painful anxiety', and the fuller expression to stretch on tenterhooks 'to strain beyond a normal limit' was in use until the nineteenth century. The bare form on tenterhooks itself is first recorded in the mid-eighteenth century, in Smollett: "I left him upon the tenterhooks of impatient uncertainty" (Roderick Random).

    link to dictionary

  • 2

    Jay, time for a little tuneup of your cliches. It's "tenterhooks" not "tender hooks" although Democrats may also be waiting on those as well...

    • 2.2

      Thanks so much for the correction, Jay Newton-Small.
      .
      Lest you I think I went a little overboard posting the definition of the term, I just thought it was neat...

  • 3

    Jay, whenever there's long or controversial legislation up for consideration, somebody demands more time for review on the grounds that the senators or congressional reps haven't had time to "read the bill." Reps from both parties make this claim. It's also considered somehow unassailable. Of course they or their staffs should read the bill?

    But all legislation is pretty long and convoluted and so it seems to me that a lot of less controversial bills get up or down votes based on summary understandings. Am I wrong or too cynical? Is most legislation fully read and vetted by senate staffers? If not, should the Supreme Court use the text of these laws to divine "congressional intent?" And, more to the point, shouldn't the press point out that Senators who claim they want "time to read" are often wildly inconsistent when it comes to their reading habits?

  • 4

    Jay Netwon-Small:

    Lincoln, one of the most endangered Dem incumbents, is an essential moderate swing vote on the bill.

    Blanche Lincoln is a "moderate" what, exactly?

    • 4.2

      Jay, I did read the Washington Post link. The headline and the body of the story refer to her as a centrist. If you had read Stuart's oeuvre, you would know that he has been at pains to define centrists for all of us. Centrist does not equate to moderate.
      .
      Lincoln might want to check the latest polls in Delaware. The very popular Mike Castle has dropped because of his lack of support for health care reform.

    • 4.3

      Actually, JNS, I'd appreciate it if you would define what YOU mean by "moderate." Since you also referred to Lincoln as a swing vote, I don't see what using the label "moderate" does other than cloak her position with an aura of reasonableness.
      .
      If you personally believe that Lincoln's position is reasonable and want to express that opinion on the blog, I have no problem with that. What I do object to is the use of loaded terms that appear to be objective, but mask a subjective opinion of a journalist.
      .
      What I find annoying is that this subject has only been brought up about 10,000 times before. If journalists insist on using terms like "moderate" despite unrelenting criticism of the practice, I would hope they could defend their writing better than telling readers to just "go read WaPo."

    • 4.4

      I also came here to lodge a complaint against "moderate". Moderate against what? As the GOP swings further and further to the right, a position "in the middle" also by necessity becomes further to the right.
      .
      If somebody says don't torture, the other says cut off their arms and legs, a "moderate" becomes somebody who says just one arm and one leg would be good enough.
      .
      Moderate has no meaning. Yet in journo speak it often means "extra serious". It doesn't. We need a political lexicon that we are all working from here. In right wing speak, Obama is a socialist, communist, fascist, buddhist, muslim, saggitarius,vegetarian. On most of the planet, he would be considered at home on the moderate wing of the conservative party.
      .
      Moderation is always considered a prudent thing. When we call corporate shills "moderates", it reflects a value judgment that I find highly biased.

    • 4.5

      Jay Newton-Small:
      .
      Thank you very much for responding to commentary; it is greatly appreciated.
      .
      Here's what I've found in the WaPo piece:

      ...the outcome is almost certain to rest on decisions made by a handful of moderate Democrats.
      .
      ...the trio of Democratic centrists could make or break the reform effort.
      .
      The low-profile centrist is being pressed by both sides.
      .
      ...said Sen. Mark Pryor (D), Arkansas's junior senator, who coasted to reelection last year[,] "You're going to have detractors on either side, no matter what you do."
      .
      Lincoln's record on a government insurance plan has drawn detractors on both sides.

      That WaPo piece is heavily biased toward the centrist political view, literally parroting Pryor's centrist language, and implying that his "coasting" election in Obama's landslide 2008 had all to do with that centrism and not Democratic fortunes generally --a debatable proposition at best.
      .
      As your colleague at Time James Poniewozik has artfully and accurately pointed out (link to his excellent piece):

      As anyone following health reform knows, centrism is a political position too. And you see moderate bias — i.e., a preference for centrism — whenever a news outlet assumes that the truth must be "somewhere in the middle."
      .
      Often, moderate bias is just the result of caution, but the effect is to bolster centrist political positions — not least by implying that they are not political positions at all but occupy a happy medium between the nutjobs. Meanwhile, conservatives see moderate bias as liberal, and liberals see it as conservative — letting journalists conclude that it's not bias at all.

      When those of you in the press corps use the term "moderate", you really mean to say "committed to the centrist position." Centrists, just like leftists or rightists, can be radical or moderate in their political views.
      .
      I'm sure you are aware that Blanche Lincoln is a founding member of the ideologically centrist wing of the Democratic party, the Senate New Democrat Coalition (link to New Democrats), an offshoot of the Democratic Leadership Council. The DLC, as I'm sure you wouldn't contest, is the pro-business, anti-liberal, right-wing accommodating, moneyed establishment of the Democratic Party.
      .
      As many have pointed out before me, the public option (whatever its policy merits) polls well amongst Blanche Lincoln's constituents (link to Josh Marshall's TPM), when polling questions omit pejorative phrasing like "government-run health care" (which you know isn't on the table at all):


      The poll asked Arkansans "Would you favor or oppose the government offering everyone a government administered health insurance plan -- something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?"
      .
      The findings are in line with other statewide and national polls that find the public option to be broadly popular. 56 favor, 37 oppose.
      .
      Lincoln's approval numbers still suffer, but the poll also suggests she won't be doing herself any favors if she opposes health care reform on the grounds that the legislation includes a public option.

      Perhaps centrism's proponents --notably Blanche Lincoln-- simply aren't comfortable with what is arguably a political winner, because of the supremely pro-business, ideologically bi-partisan platform of the DLC.
      .
      If this possibility hasn't entered into your calculations, Jay Newton-Small, and you are taking the "pragmatism" argument as a matter of Beltway Conventional Wisdom faith, perhaps you are, let us say, unaware of your own professional biases and your own "preference for centrism".
      .
      Have you ever considered that your work might suffer from centrist bias, Jay Newton-Small?
      .
      ...Not that there is a problem with biases, mind you --we all have them-- but the issue is with hidden, undeclared (or in your case perhaps unknown) biases.
      .
      I'm asking you "Moderate what?" so that you may become aware that you implicitly assign the "extreme" position to left and right proponents by habitually omitting the politics to which the word "moderate" applies. Russ Feingold isn't an extreme liberal, he's a liberal. John McCain isn't an extreme conservative, he's a conservative. Joe Lieberman, on the other hand, is an extreme centrist. “Moderate” and “centrist” are not synonymous terms.
      .
      A politician who always takes the middle position no matter the situation, who reliably seeks elite bipartisan cooperation at the expense of both the left's and right's popular agendas, who works to preserve the status quo, and who perpetually defies voting constituents in favor of corporate sponsors is a dedicated centrist, not a "moderate" anything. I'm asking you to please be accurate in your descriptions, Jay Newton-Small, and label New Democrats what they are, not what they proclaim themselves to be.
      .
      Thanks once again for responding to commentary, Jay Newton-Small, and thank you for reading and making the intellectual effort to consider this notion.

    • 4.6

      I'm sure you are aware that Blanche Lincoln is a founding member of the ideologically centrist wing of the Democratic party, the Senate New Democrat Coalition
      .
      You realize, of course, that JNS once claimed that John McCain was a "virtual liberal":
      .
      http://swampland.blogs.time.com/2009/10/08/mccain-maverick-no-more/
      .
      which caused me to theorize that she doesn't actually understand why a person could be called liberal, or conservative, or, in this case, a moderate.

  • 5

    [...] Senator says motion to proceed on health bill won't happen until after the holiday break. tiiQuigoWriteAd(755778, 1290697, 600, 240, -1); [...]

  • 6

    I believe and so should you that the Senate will get a healthcare bill passed before the end of the year. I believe this because I know that they will rise to the calling to of this "moment" this high-calling to finally bring compassion and love to the people and citizens they are stewards of even though the Party of No and Fear are trying to immobilize them through fear and obstruction, so to the many cries of the masses for help will they hear much louder than the fear -- the cries for strength and compassion to do the right things no matter the cost, for the cost will be satisfaction of doing the right thing for humanity to set the course toward healing and health to set straight that which was crooked. The whole world is waiting and looking for the better Angels of their nature to do the right thing, this time, no failure will do.

  • 7

    [...] See the article here: Will Senate Miss Another Health Care Deadline? (Time Magazine) [...]

  • 8

    Moderate = (DNC position + GOP position) / 2.

    That's all. It has no anchor in any real-world considerations.

    Naturally the GOP has figured out this dynamic and the Dems have not. Tack hard to the right, and you shift the meaning of "moderate."

  • 9

    [...] week ago now, but the Senate looks like it’s ready to hold things up. Just Tuesday, there was talk of yet another blown deadline, and Senate Majority Whip Dick Durbin wouldn’t even make a firm [...]

  • 10

    Abba Eban's description of the Palestinians seems applicable to the Senate in its current configuration -- They never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity.
    .
    Publius over at Obsidian Wings suggested a while back that nothing sort of undoing the disproportional representation in the Senate (where more than 30 million Californians have the same number of Senators as the fewer-than-one-million Alaskans) would enable the majority to get anything done. Think of it, rusty, sixty Barbara Boxers.
    .
    Constitutional amendment, anyone?

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