A New and Better (But Still Flawed) Insurance Industry Report
The health insurance industry is not an unbiased source when it comes to figuring out how the Senate Finance Committee health reform bill will affect costs. No group stands to lose more and will more fiercely protect its own interests - meaning profits. But that doesn't mean all studies funded by insurers are completely without merit. A report released over the weekend and commissioned by America's Health Insurance Plans – the lobbying group for private insurers – was widely panned as a selective, dishonest analysis intended to derail the Senate Finance Committee's plan for health reform. The study said insurance premiums would would cause the typical family health-insurance policy to rise $20,700 more than if no reforms were enacted. Shortly after a backlash began, Pricewaterhouse Coopers, which authored the report, put out a statement saying it knew the study was not comprehensive and excluded key provisions that would have changed the result. But a new report commissioned by the Blue Cross Blue Shield Association and released Wednesday is different.
BCBSA's analysis, conducted by the consulting firm Oliver Wyman, also predicts insurance premiums for individuals could rise dramatically - for young adults, by some 50% more than without reform. The analysis is carefully written, includes necessary caveats and considers some key pieces of the Finance committee bill omitted from the AHIP study - like the billions in subsidies that would be made available to Americans to help them buy coverage. Said one longtime health insurance actuary, “This is a nice piece of fruit compared to the rotten tomato we got on Monday,” referring to the earlier AHIP study.
One focus of the BCBSA study is the age rating bands built into the Senate Finance Committee bill - these dictate how much difference would be allowed to exist in health insurance premiums for old and young enrollees. Under the Finance bill, insurers would be permitted to charge its oldest customers four times as much as its youngest customers - this is a 4 to 1 ratio. (The House bill calls for a 2 to 1 ratio.) The insurance industry had pushed for at least 5 to 1 and makes the point in its study that the tighter the age band, the higher the costs will be for young adults. This is a valid point - one of the tenets of Democratic health reform plans is that young, healthy enrollees in the individual insurance market would subsidize coverage for older, sicker adults. But here the BCBSA study falters, ignoring a provision in the Finance committee bill that would create room for high-deductible, low-cost health insurance plans for Americans 25 and younger. These policies, known as "young invincibles plans," would greatly mitigate price spikes. Kurt Giesa, an Oliver Wyman actuary who worked on the BCBSA study said, however, this provision was ignored because "we didn't think it would have a material affect on the overall analysis." The BCBSA study also ignored the existence of exchanges which would spur much-needed competition among insurers. Again, the Giesa said "we didn't find it would have a material impact," even though the text of the study itself acknowledges that the Congressional Budget Office predicts a 4 to 5 % drop in premiums sold through the exchanges due to administrative cost reductions and competition.
The BCBSA study also makes the argument that the weaker the requirement that uninsured Americans purchase coverage, the higher costs will be for everyone else. This is not a scare tactic - this is true. The Finance committee's bill has a weaker individual mandate than the bills passed by other committees - penalties for not buying coverage are lower and phase in slowly over time. (The insurance industry wants a strong individual mandate at the outset not because it would reduce premiums for customers, but to get those customers in the first place. The industry stands to gain tens of millions of new enrollees if harsh penalties discourage people to go without coverage.) Said the longtime actuary who reviewed the merits of the study, "The effect of having a very weak mandate penalty is absolutely true, but the question is how bad it would be...if there's one flaw with this report, it's that it talks about the ends of ranges as opposed to the averages....They bring up the right topics, but they're on the high side on almost everything." Shortly after the report was released, one White House official, eager to link the BCBSA report to the now thoroughly debunked AHIP study told Talking Points Memo, "This report isn't quite as egregious as the AHIP report...if the AHIP report was a $3.50 bill, this one's a $3.00 bill."
The health insurance industry has an agenda here. Congressional leaders are in the process of hammering out details for the bills that will reach the House and Senate floors and this may be the last chance the industry has to influence final language. But some arguments made by the insurers reveal some hard truths pro-reformers have not been eager to advertise: Allowing people who can't afford it to opt out of insurance coverage would be bad for everyone else. Setting minimum levels of benefits, which reform proposals would do, means the cheapest insurance available under a reformed system would be more expensive that the cheapest available now. (Of course, the cheapest insurance available now leaves many Americans dangerously under-insured.) And young adults buying individual insurance policies would pay a little more than their fair share to help keep costs down for older adults. No matter who says it, these facts are true. And every effort made to ease these burdens just adds to the cost of health care reform.
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1
Kate, thanks for this update. Your 4th paragraph “ins. industry wants a strong ind. mandate” quote should be in bold text, not parentheses. Pardon my doubts about a large insurance group analyzing its own, but what's in it for Blue Cross? How much $ in est. earnings will they gain from mandated new customers? Given Maine's Dirigo mess (as KT earlier covered well), I understand the need for mandates but think they can achieved without huge fines (have posted an earlier idea often). Pardon my asking many unusual questions (as KT, Jay, and Amy painfully know, I ask many unanswered questions that feed crickets). Unanswered q's aside, thanks for stating the blinding obvious, “The health insurance industry has an agenda here.”
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2
Those facts aren't necessarily true, though. They're just facts written into a bad bill that the insurance industry has had way too much influence on.
For one thing, you don't allow people who can't afford insurance to opt out, you just subsidize their purchase of coverage. Do that and no problem.
Setting minimum standards wouldn't necssarily drive up the costs if you... ta da... regulate insurance premiums the way we regulate utilities rates. That's not in the bill but it's totally doable and it would be in the bill if we weren't being influenced by so many BS industry funded studies done by outfits like PWC and Oliver Wyman (the very consultancies who have contributed, by the way, to some of American capitalism's most spectacular flame-outs).
The issue about the young overpaying is also easily handled by premium regulation. But the other problem is... it's not really the young overpaying. Young people get old. I have renter's insurance for my apartment. Every day that my place isn't firebombed or robbed I pay for no benefit. Am I overpaying? Might seem so now, but it might look like a bargain if I ever need to make a claim. Those premiums you pay in your 20s could well pay off when you're in your 60s.
Except that there's a dirty secret about health care -- when people get older and need more care they get shunted into... a public option called Medicare! So in that sense everyone under 65 who doesn't make a major insurance claim is getting screwed and when they get older and are more likely to need help it's the government that pays.
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3
The bottom line here is that health insurance rates are spinning wildly out of control even if nothing changes. If I recall correctly, the report had said costs would increase 111% over ten years if the bill passes, and 78% if it doesn't. Insurance rate hikes far beyond inflation rates is simply unacceptable regardless of what happens.
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If we're going to be paying more either way, I would rather us actually get more vis-a-vis public option, universal coverage, etc. -
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So what you're saying is this is another insurance industry report that makes the case for strong reform.
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Look, it's not news that a universal mandate is critical. Academic economists studying health care have said so for a long time.
But, of course, who can trust them? They mostly believe a public option would reduce costs.
Have you tried doing any research into anlysis written by people who weren't funded by the health industry? Just think --real reporting! What fun!
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some hard truths pro-reformers have not been eager to advertise: Allowing people who can't afford it to opt out of insurance coverage would be bad for everyone else. Setting minimum levels of benefits, which reform proposals would do, means the cheapest insurance available under a reformed system would be more expensive that the cheapest available now. (Of course, the cheapest insurance available now leaves many Americans dangerously under-insured.) And young adults buying individual insurance policies would pay a little more than their fair share to help keep costs down for older adults.
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This paragraph overall is a nice realistic assessment of where things stand except for the bolded phrase which is grossly misleading.
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The entire theory behind medical insurance existing is that the healthy subsidize the sick. If that weren't the case there would be no value in insurance in the first place. Everyone could keep a savings account for the money they'll need when they succumb. What insurance offers, is the opportunity for someone who gets sick unexpectedly to draw out of the pool before they've paid in fully. Insurers guarantee themselves that they collect more in premiums than they pay in benefits and pocket the difference in administrative costs and profits. Obviously the notion of a 'fair share' is under a system where the healthy already pay in more than enough to cover the sick AND the overhead is absurd on its face. Yes the young pay more than their fair share. That's the whole point of insurance. Mandates don't change that one iota. -
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[...] lose more and will more fiercely protect its own interests … Go here to read the rest:Â A New and Better (But Still Flawed) Insurance Industry Report …SHARETHIS.addEntry({ title: "A New and Better (But Still Flawed) Insurance Industry Report …", [...]
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“The entire theory behind medical insurance existing is that the healthy subsidize the sick.”
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In “big picture” view, I always saw insurance as a big bet, like an option or casino. Accidents happen, so we bet against ins. cos. over these. We bet they will happen (even when not desired) and the ins. cos. must pay; they bet they will NOT happen or be delayed (life / death ins.), and WE must pay. (Peter Bernstein said “Against the Gods” that if insurance policies were securities traded / sold on a market they'd be priced like options.) “Death bonds” / viaticals are interesting if macabre since the scenarios are reversed: we cash in life insurance to live long and prosper; the viatical cos. pay out and literally want us to die ASAP to maximize profit. Now that's capitalism.
http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/07_31/b4044001.htm-
8.1
You're absolutely right, and the whole thing that is wrong is that you don't want private enterprise running the casino - their sole motivation is to raise the loss rate of the bettor - the house's "take'.
At least in the casino, you can quit betting if the take rate is too high and it's no longer "fun" to get screwed." But you have to have health insurance. So it makes no sense to have that motivation at play. A government fixed rate - like the minimum 85% loss ratio in the house bill - must be at play.
That's why in 1970, almost all insurance companies were mutuals, in other words, non-profits.
What is really unreported in all this is the kleptomania for Blue Cross and Blue Shields "going private" in the 1980s and 1990s, the executives getting stock, and then selling to Wellpoint. This is the single biggest contributor to this mess.
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The finance committee bill is nothing more then drivel. But you get what someone pays for.
I have absolutely no hope that Harry Reid will do a good job combining the Senate bills to something passable. One can only hope that the house does a better job at it.
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I admit I'm nervous about this. My family falls into the bracket that might get hurt more than helped. We're in our late 30s, one child, healthy. I'm a sole proprietor, so I'm locked out of group rates. My wife works at a non-profit that can't afford to provide healthcare. We currently have the "hit by the bus" policy with a crazy-high deductible ($15k per individual, or $30K per family), and it still costs us $400 a month. We can't easily pay much more.
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If the bill that passes mandates that we instead buy a much more robust policy, our monthly bills will surely go up, and probably by a lot. I can only hope that whatever passes will allow us to purchase something in the same range as we pay now. I'll be very interested to see if the co-op idea takes hold. While it didn't work well in Maine (for probably many reasons), the leverage of a nationwide pool just might do the trick. -
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The longer this goes on the stronger I believe that the only real solution is single payer.
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11.1
Why have something relatively simple (if socialist in concept) like single-payer when we can have an overly-complex, loophole-ridden, insurance-company-subsidizing, vaguely-regulated and ill-enforced Rube-Goldberg-esque health care reform package?
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Oh yeah; the Rube Goldberg contraption apparently is the only thing that has a chance of being enacted. Or so we are told. -
11.2
I really don't understand the difficulty people are having with a single payer system. All insurance is socialistic, that's the point! The private health insurers could switch to selling supplemental insurance for those who think they need the extra coverage. Hell, I don't even care if the government decides to contract out the work to private companies. I just want good coverage for a reasonable price that everyone can get. I haven't seen a good and comprehensive argument against single payer, just political reasons why it's bad.
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I think the difficulty is the same as implementing a flat tax. If the completely change the system, it would put many people and companies out of work. A single payer system would eliminate the majority of the insurance companies that are out there and the millions of good hard working people who work for them would now be jobless and have to have the universal healthcare coverage paid by additional tax dollars that are not being collected because millions are now unemployeed.....see the circle?
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12.1
I really don't think millions of people would be out of work. Certainly there are going to be people losing their jobs. Under a single payer system there still exists a need for claim processors, management, etc. I don't see this as a viable reason not to implement single payer.
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12.2
You may be right; however, I am not sure how many different insuranace companies are out there, as I understand it, each state has many small insurance companies that cannot compete across state lines. A single payor system would use maybe 10 insurance companies for the administrative burden? leaving the rest to layoffs.
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my opinion is that we need to focus on what brings the costs of health insurance up? Some people say it is health insurance profits, others say the profits are slim...so what else brings up the cost? Well, actually getting sick and getting healthcare. Why do we not focus on how to keep the population healthy? or focus on how to lower the cost of care? If we lower the cost of care, we can lower the cost of insurance....another circle, just a different way of looking at the issue.
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And the CBO's numbers are sacrosanct?
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"This is a valid point - one of the tenets of Democratic health reform plans is that young, healthy enrollees in the individual insurance market would subsidize coverage for older, sicker adults."
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So let's penalize a group of people, just starting out (and those people will have to be working, as you cannot get blood from a stone) who have college loans and may be looking to start a family, for the benefit of older people who have had time to accumulate assets etc.
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Wow. Why doesn't anyone ask about the morality of that? -
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Ooh, scare me again. So we have a new & better report by the insurance industry saying the insurance industry is going to raise your premiums. Is this supposed to win us over to their side?
The Constant Weader at http://www.RealityChex.com
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[...] Cross Blue Shield report argues that premiums would rise for individuals under reform plans, but TIME reports, it "is carefully written, includes necessary caveats and considers some key pieces of [...]
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[...] was released by the insurance industry in mid-October. The industry’s study claimed that plans for a public option would increase insurance premiums for the typical family by thousands of d.... However, Democrats panned the study as significantly flawed, a hatchet job, and an effort to [...]
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